5 holdings. Together they swing like 3.6 separate bets. VTI is 30% of the money and 42% of the risk.
Daily prices, 11 Jan 2007 to 6 Nov 2026. What happened, not a forecast.
The retail version of Ray Dalio’s All Weather: 30% stocks, 55% Treasuries, 7.5% gold and 7.5% commodities.
Measured on 2026-11-06
| Company | Share of everything | Through |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 1.9% | VTI 1.9% |
| AAPL | 1.8% | VTI 1.8% |
| GOOGL | 1.6% | VTI 1.6% |
| MSFT | 1.1% | VTI 1.1% |
| AMZN | 1.0% | VTI 1.0% |
| AVGO | 0.7% | VTI 0.7% |
This table names the companies behind 33% of the money. The rest is held too, in positions this measurement could not name.
| Holding | Money | Risk | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | 40% | 42% | 1.05 |
| VTI | 30% | 42% | 1.39 |
| GLD | 8% | 7% | 0.95 |
| DBC | 8% | 6% | 0.80 |
| IEI | 15% | 3% | 0.23 |
Separate bets: 3.6 (a week earlier 3.6). Largest company: NVDA 1.9% (a week earlier NVDA 1.9%). Volatility over the whole window: 8.0% (a week earlier 8.0%).
PORTFOLIO: All Weather 2007-01-11 to 2026-11-06 · 4,988 trading days · USD 5 holdings. Together they swing like 3.6 separate bets. VTI: 30% of the money, 42% of the risk. Volatility 8% · worst fall on record 23%. Risk 9% → 7% over the last year, mostly because the holdings themselves got quieter. Descriptive. No forecast, no advice. Every figure above is measured over the window named at the top. folionomiq.com
Change a weight, swap a fund, add what you hold: measured by the same engine, nothing saved on our side.
Measure your versionMeasured 2007-01-11 to 2026-11-06 over 4,987 trading days, in USD, from Yahoo Finance prices. Descriptive: this page reports what these holdings have done and how their risk is built. It does not forecast returns or losses and it is not advice. How every figure is measured. Terms and privacy: /terms. If a figure looks wrong: [email protected].
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A non-commercial project · No advice, no price predictions · [email protected]